The America Chronicles

Trump credits tariffs with boosting economy as rapid growth reported, says numbers will ‘only get better’

President Trump bragged Tuesday that his tariffs were responsible for the “great” surging US economy. Trump took the victory lap just after the Commerce Department announced the economy had grown at a ...

The economy has 4 problems. The Fed can’t fix them.

The U.S. economy is weaker than it seemed a month ago, and lower interest rates may not be the answer.

The US economy grew just 0.7% last quarter, ahead of a potentially destabilizing war with Iran

The US economy was on shaky footing even before President Donald Trump plunged the United States into a war with Iran, a battery of new data released Friday showed.

A famed permabear says investors need to brace for a market 'shock' from a new wave of inflation

Oil prices are retesting $100 a barrel, but inflation expectations have barely nudged, a warning sign for markets, Albert Edwards says.

A sticky reading on Fed's favored inflation measure should keep central bank on hold

A reading on the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge released Friday for January, before the Iran war, showed inflation remained sticky, reinforcing the case for the central bank to hold ...

CPI Report Live: Here's Where Inflation Rose and Fell at the Grocery Store in February

Follow along with Investopedia's live coverage of Friday's inflation report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Fed's favored inflation gauge remained stubbornly high in January as consumer price pressures persist

The Commerce Department on Friday released the January 2026 PCE inflation report, which showed the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge remained stubbornly high for consumers.

Underlying Inflation Was Stubborn in January by Fed’s Preferred Metric

PCE inflation in January was 2.8% year over year. The numbers predate the Iran conflict.

What Are the Chances of a U.S. Recession in 2026?

The largest prediction market puts the odds of a recession at about 29%.

Recession calls are growing as the oil market sees no end in sight to Iran-war disruptions

The bull case for economic growth has weakened as oil spikes. Goldman raised its recession odds this week and others see a slowdown looming.

Econometer: Are recession fears over war in Iran overblown?

As the war with Iran continues, some economists and business leaders are concerned it could kick-start a recession. Iran has ...

A Nobel Prize for a revolution in economics

Sure, winning the Nobel Prize in economics may be one of the crowning achievements of David Card's storied career. And, yeah, he gets to split more than a million dollars with the two other winners of ...

Adam Smith Is Still the GOAT After 250 Years

I’ve long thought that calling Adam Smith the father of economics seriously understates his significance. In some ways he was indeed the first economist, and The Wealth of Nations, published 250 years ...

Jobs Evaporated Unexpectedly, a Troubling Sign for U.S. Economy

Hiring fizzled in February, a sign of unexpected weakness in the labor market that sent warning signs flashing through the broader economy. Employers slashed 92,000 jobs last month, the Labor ...

The Economy’s Warning Light Is Flashing Yellow

The economy’s warning lights might not yet be flashing red, but they are certainly flashing yellow. The worst job numbers since the Great Recession, the slowest economic growth since COVID, and the ...

Tariffs can reduce inflation, but it's a double-edged sword

Recent research has found that tariffs can reduce economic activity to a point where inflation starts to fall. But if that happens, the economy would be dealing with much bigger problems.

The inflation story isn't going away. The next few months are critical.

The hope at the start of the year was that U.S inflation would slow and give the Federal Reserve the scope to cut interest ...

Inflation held steady in February before Iran war drove up gas prices

The inflation data captures the period before the Iran war broke out. Since then, oil prices have surged, driving inflation ...

Inflation held steady in February and remained above the Fed's target

The Labor Department released the February 2026 consumer price index (CPI), which showed that inflation remained elevated ...

5 Buying Habits That Experts Say Might Indicate a Looming Recession

Two financial experts give their take on what spending habit changes might indicate that a recession is looming.